Donald Trump Loses Three States in Electoral College Map Model

Donald Trump has over the past few days lost the slight advantage he enjoyed in the critical swing states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, according to the most recent model released by election analytics website 338Canada.
On Thursday, 338Canada published its latest update which put Kamala Harris slightly ahead of Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania, whilst the two rivals were tied in Wisconsin. It also concluded the vice president is favorite to win nationally. By contrast, the previous 338Canada analysis, released on October 14, had Trump as favorite to win all three states, as well as the overall election.
Harris was interviewed on Wednesday by conservative-leaning network Fox News, during which she answered questions about immigration, transgender healthcare and perceived threats to American democracy in a sometimes-heated exchange. The following day, Harris’s odds of winning in November were cut from 11/8 (42.1 percent) to 5/4 (44.4 percent) by leading bookmakers Betfair and Paddypower, though she has since dropped back. On Friday, polling analysis website FiveThirtyEight gave Harris a 52 percent chance of victory in November, versus 48 percent for Trump.
The 338Canada model released on Thursday gave Harris a 52 percent chance of victory in November against 47 percent for Trump, with its model producing a median result of 270 Electoral College votes for the current vice president vs 268 for her Republican rival.
In Pennsylvania, the model gave Harris a 52 percent chance of victory, against 48 percent for Trump, whilst in Michigan, the current vice president was given a 51 percent chance of victory versus 49 percent for her Republican rival. The state of Wisconsin was tied between the two candidates, both of whom were given a 50 percent chance of victory.
This was a deterioration for Trump from 338Canada’s October 14 model, which had the Republican as overall favorite with a 51 percent chance of winning against 49 percent for Harris.
The October 14 model also put Trump ahead in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, giving him a 52 percent, 51 percent and 53 percent chance of winning each battleground state respectively.
338Canada said it used “opinion polls, electoral history and demographic data” to create its election predictions.
Newsweek contacted the Donald Trump and Kamala Harris presidential election campaigns for comment on Friday via email outside of regular office hours.
The latest analysis of recent polling by election website FiveThirtyEight, published on Thursday, gave Harris a 2.4 percent lead over Trump overall, with 48.5 percent of the vote against 46.1 percent of the vote. However, due to the Electoral College system, it is possible for a candidate to win the popular vote but lose overall, as Hillary Clinton did in 2016.
On Thursday, Trump delivered an address at the Al Smith charity dinner in New York were he mocked Harris and Governor Tim Walz, her running mate. Harris didn’t attend in person instead spending the day campaigning in the key swing state of Wisconsin. The vice president also took part in a comedy sketch alongside Molly Shannon, a former Saturday Night Live cast member.